Arrival of Cuba offshore oil rig delayed again
* Project has raised environmental fears in FloridaBy Jeff FranksHAVANA, Oct 12 (Reuters) - The arrival of a Chinese-built
drilling rig set to explore for oil in Cuban waters has been
delayed again and is not expected to reach the island until the
second half of December, sources close to the project said.The delay is the latest of many as communist-run Cuba
awaits the start of a project it hopes will give a shot in the
arm to its struggling economic system.The massive Scarabeo 9, which set sail from Singapore in
late August, had been expected in Cuba by early November, but
was slowed by problems not unusual for a newly built rig going
to its first drilling operations, people close to the project
said this week.The late December arrival means the first well, to be sunk
in 5,600 feet (1,700 metres) of water off Cuba’s northern
coast, may not be started until January, the sources said.They warned that further delays were possible as the rig
makes its journey halfway around the world after it was built
in Yantai, China, and completed in Singapore. It was said to be
currently off the coast of West Africa, although reports about
its location varied.Cuba had hoped to begin exploring for oil in its part of
the Gulf of Mexico several years ago, but the project has been
put off by construction delays and other issues.The high-tech rig belongs to Saipem, the offshore
unit for Italy’s Eni SpA, and has been contracted by
Spain’s Repsol YPFfor the Cuba project, which is the
island’s first major exploration offshore.It will be used to drill at least three wells, two by
Repsol in a consortium with Norway’s Statoila
unit of India’s ONGC, and another by Malaysia’s
Petronas in partnership with Russia’s Gazprom Neft.After that, plans for the project, which has been cloaked
in secrecy, are not clear, but may depend on the success of the
first three wells, a diplomatic source said.If oil is found, it will take at least three years to begin
production, said the local manager for one of the companies
involved.BALM FOR CUBAN ECONOMYCuban officials have not said much publicly about the
offshore exploration, but make it clear in private
conversations that oil would help their troubled economy.Opponents of the Cuban government fear oil will be the
salvation of the communist system, which President Raul Castro
is trying to preserve with economic reforms. But that will
depend in part on how much oil, if any, is found.Cuba has said it may have 20 billion barrels of oil in its
43,000 square miles (111,370 square km) of the Gulf of Mexico,
while the U.S. Geological Survey has estimated 5 billion
barrels, the figure more broadly accepted in the oil world.Cuba oil expert Jorge Pinon, a former president of Amoco
Oil in Latin America who is now at Florida International
University, said the most likely prospect if oil were found was
that it would be a field closer to the USGS estimate.Owing to the fields and the probability they contain
heavier oil, he thinks only 30 percent to 40 percent of the
reserves can be produced.”If they find 5 billion barrels, you take 40 percent of
that and it’s 2 billion barrels,” Pinon said.The contracts with international partners call for Cuba to
get 60 percent of the oil, which based on a 25-year reservoir
life, would equate to about 131,000 barrels a day.That amount may or may not assure the survival of the Cuban
system, experts said, but would bring solid economic and
political benefits, including a better balance sheet for the
cash-strapped island and oil independence.Cuba now gets 92,000 barrels a day from socialist ally
Venezuela to help meet internal demand, but Venezuelan
President Hugo Chavez is battling cancer, raising questions
about how much longer the program will last.The Cuban wells have raised environmental concerns because
they will be about 60 miles (96 km) from Florida, twice as
close to the state as drillers are allowed in U.S. waters.A blowout like BP experienced last year off the
coast of Louisiana could douse both Cuba and Florida with oil.To alleviate concerns, Repsol will follow through on an
offer it made to invite U.S. Coast Guard officials to inspect
the rig when it reaches Trinidad and Tobago, sources said.